Polymarket · weekly receipts

Week of Oct 12 – 18, 2026

Updated , from run 1791788420

In the week of Oct 12 – 18, 2026, whales have finished betting on 50 Polymarket markets ($15.5M of whale money); 7 have settled. The 114 whale positions we can score on them made −$834K between them: 59 came out ahead, 55 behind.

Biggest win: Unwieldy-Collagen, +$102K on Under (“Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5”). Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$325K on Falcons (“Ravens vs. Falcons”).

One good week is one result, not a skill: check each wallet's settled record and luck-vs-skill verdict before reading anything into it. What happened when we copied the best whales.

Biggest wins

one whale on one market
Whale · verdictMarketBackedMade on it
Unwieldy-Collagen
Can't tell from luck
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Under +$102K
Esteemed-Cloves
Can't tell from luck
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 Over +$48K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
Can't tell from luck
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers +$37K
Euphoric-Alteration
Can't tell from luck
Magic vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers +$19K
True-Grandparent
Can't tell from luck
Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens +$17K
Stable-Armament
Can't tell from luck
Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens +$16K
Limping-Normalization-Alluvium
Too few bets
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 Over +$15K
Snappy-Basketball
Can't tell from luck
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers +$11K
Hoarse-Atom
Can't tell from luck
Spread: Falcons (-3.5) Ravens +$10K
Overlooked-Wetsuit
Can't tell from luck
Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens +$9.6K

Biggest losses

one whale on one market
Whale · verdictMarketBackedMade on it
Substantial-Service
Beat the odds*
Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons −$325K
Velvety-Zoologist-Tale
Too few bets
Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons −$229K
Sudden-Compensation
Too few bets
Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons −$211K
Shoddy-Harmonise
Can't tell from luck
Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons −$124K
Taut-Semicolon
Can't tell from luck
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers −$43K
Sparse-Outset
Can't tell from luck
Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons −$38K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
Beat the odds*
Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons −$36K
Measly-Goal
Too few bets
Spread: Falcons (-3.5) Falcons −$25K
Glaring-Salt
Can't tell from luck
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers −$25K
Boring-Musician
Can't tell from luck
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers −$21K

The week's whale markets

50 · 43 still open
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $451K 49 Open
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? $155K 25 Open
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? $473K 48 Open
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? $152K 25 Open
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? $86K 20 Open
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner $81K 27 Open
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner $96K 27 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $243K 41 Open
Catania: Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone $87K 4 Open
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot $82K 20 Open
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $1.24M 102 Open
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $56K 15 Open
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $96K 27 Open
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.12M 119 Open
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? $50K 9 Open
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $235K 51 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? $163K 28 Open
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? $66K 13 Open
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina $55K 7 Open
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? $60K 5 Open
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House $351K 38 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $209K 32 Open
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $174K 58 Open
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner $115K 30 Open
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner $60K 17 Open
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? $372K 46 Open
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $55K 9 Open
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? $168K 6 Open
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.52M 188 Open
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek $174K 9 Open
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? $98K 40 Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $2.44M 119 Open
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? $534K 58 Open
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? $162K 31 Open
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez $69K 13 Won: Leylah Fernandez
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? $64K 6 Open
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? $164K 20 Open
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? $208K 29 Open
Ravens vs. Falcons $1.55M 47 Won: Ravens
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 $90K 8 Won: Over
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers $277K 37 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? $400K 82 Open
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $176K 18 Open
Xi Jinping out before 2027? $431K 49 Open
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $64K 15 Open
Magic vs. Cavaliers $104K 6 Won: Cavaliers
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 $129K 4 Won: Under
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $143K 22 Open
Spread: Falcons (-3.5) $61K 11 Won: Ravens
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? $107K 31 Open

A market belongs to the week of its last whale bet. "Made on it" counts only the whale trades we captured, marked at the result; whales whose position we only saw part of are left out. It updates daily until the week's markets have all settled. How profit is counted.