Polymarket market · Sports
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
28 whales traded $172K on this market since Oct 17, 53% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 112 seconds later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 53% of the whale buying on it. Of the 21 whales whose whole position we captured, 16 made +$18K and 5 lost −$60K: −$42K between them. Biggest win: Monstrous-Dew, +$2.4K on Yes. Biggest loss: Sneaky-Nod-Agony, −$25K on No.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 28| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Previous-Jaguar
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $32K | — |
| Sneaky-Nod-Agony
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 40¢ | $25K | — | −$25K |
| Unwitting-Degradation-Attendant
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 36¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Dark-Aspect
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $15K | — | +$1.5K |
| Lovely-Orchard-Stool
110 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 36¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 89¢ | $9.0K | — | −$2.1K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 52¢ | $5.5K | — | −$4.1K |
| Whole-Leading
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $5.1K | — | +$453 |
| Scary-Farming
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 90¢ | $5.0K | — | +$556 |
| Monstrous-Dew
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 65¢ | $4.5K | — | +$2.4K |
| Hefty-Metabolite
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $4.2K | — | +$319 |
| Kosher-Refuse
363 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 65¢ | $4.0K | — | +$2.2K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,129 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 63¢ | $3.4K | — | +$2.0K |
| Testy-Comma
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 65¢ | $3.3K | — | +$1.8K |
| Unlined-Observation
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 90¢ | $3.2K | — | +$354 |
| Opulent-Crawdad-Crumb
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 91¢ | $2.8K | — | +$257 |
| Shameless-Daisy
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Frail-Painter
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 60¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.3K |
| Sharp-Preservation
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Gullible-Swimsuit
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — | +$40 |
| Disgusting-Pet-Depressive
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Straight-Gift
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Marvelous-Involvement-Stepgrandfather
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 63¢ | $1.7K | — | +$979 |
| 0x929a…a3d8
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $1.6K | — | +$975 |
| Impressionable-Compassionate
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$68K53% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $39K sold
-
No lost$60K47% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $4.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Jaguars | $254K | 12 | Won: Texans | |
| Bears vs. Falcons | $61K | 8 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | $95K | 5 | Won: Steelers | |
| Florence: Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta | $81K | 14 | Won: Dmitry Popko | |
| Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | $72K | 11 | Won: Under | |
| Titans vs. Colts | $90K | 13 | Won: Titans | |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | $60K | 13 | Won: Panthers | |
| Saints vs. Giants | $171K | 8 | Won: Saints |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?