Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Resolved: Daniil Medvedev won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $212K on this market since Oct 14, 87% of their buying on Daniil Medvedev. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Daniil Medvedev won, with 87% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$4.0K and 4 lost −$12K: −$7.7K between them. Biggest win: Deserted-Loquat-Handicap, +$1.2K on Daniil Medvedev. Biggest loss: High-Antling-Tactile, −$5.8K on Stefanos Tsitsipas.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament
13 settled bets Too few bets
Daniil Medvedev @ 87¢ $59K $101K —
Distant-Pomelo
167 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $21K —
High-Antling-Tactile
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 16¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Powerless-Savannah
2,573 settled bets Beat the odds*
Daniil Medvedev @ 83¢ $4.0K — +$799
Enraged-Due
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 12¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Wrathful-Row
173 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 83¢ $3.7K — +$755
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 83¢ $3.3K — +$687
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,886 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 81¢ $2.5K — +$588
Deserted-Loquat-Handicap
4 settled bets Too few bets
Daniil Medvedev @ 68¢ $2.5K — +$1.2K
All-Peasant-Drug
965 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Favorable-Neuron
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Disloyal-Backyard
35 settled bets Worse than the odds
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 19¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Glaring-Salt
1,724 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 15¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Daniil Medvedev won
    $75K
    87% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $125K sold
  2. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost
    $12K
    13% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo $227K 22 Won: Hanyu Guo
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula $202K 19 Won: Jelena Ostapenko
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee $109K 14 Won: Ashlyn Krueger
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li $111K 31 Won: Ann Li
Lisbon: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela $167K 4 Won: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wuhan Tennis Open: Janice Tjen vs Daria Snigur $74K 11 Won: Janice Tjen
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally $75K 18 Won: Karolina Muchova
Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez $52K 12 Won: Leylah Fernandez
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed