Polymarket market · Other

Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $52K on this market since Oct 17, 87% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 87% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$51K and 2 lost −$6.4K: +$45K between them. Biggest win: Feisty-Mention, +$40K on Yes. Biggest loss: Foolish-Complexity-Columnist, −$5.3K on No.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Feisty-Mention
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 45¢ $33K — +$40K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,264 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 42¢ $7.6K — +$11K
Foolish-Complexity-Columnist
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 53¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
Joyful-Ellipse
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $2.5K — +$539
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
110 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 51¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 84¢ $1.1K — +$216
Mean-Stucco-Achiever
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $44K
    87% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.0K sold
  2. No lost
    $6.4K
    13% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792393220).

About this data · run 1792393220, computed 2026-10-19 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792393220 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed