Polymarket market · Other
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $88K on this market since Oct 17, 61% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 39% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$36K and 4 lost −$50K: −$15K between them. Biggest win: Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir, +$31K on No. Biggest loss: Firsthand-Curtain-Bet, −$44K on Yes.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firsthand-Curtain-Bet
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 54¢ | $44K | — | −$44K |
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 47¢ | $28K | — | +$31K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 47¢ | $4.7K | — | +$2.4K |
| 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K | — |
| Memorable-Maelstrom
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 53¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 48¢ | $1.8K | — | +$2.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 53¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| 0x0f34…7684
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 52¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$52K61% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
No won$33K39% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $3.6K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5 | $52K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $57K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $66K | 15 | Open | |
| Nebraska vs. Oregon | $193K | 20 | Won: Oregon | |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-18? | $129K | 5 | Won: Yes | |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $105K | 21 | Won: Aurora Gaming | |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | $52K | 5 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | $108K | 16 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?