Polymarket market · Sports

Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $55K on this market since Oct 17, 80% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 80% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$38K and 5 lost −$9.4K: +$29K between them. Biggest win: 0x361b…74fe, +$33K on Over. Biggest loss: Disastrous-Cheek-Cadet, −$2.9K on Under.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0x361b…74fe
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 52¢ $36K — +$33K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 32¢ $4.5K — −$1.6K
0xe051…df86
6 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 52¢ $4.3K — +$4.0K
Disastrous-Cheek-Cadet
1 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 48¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Remarkable-Underpass
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 26¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Warped-Scholar
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 47¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Miserable-Poison
1,161 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $1.2K — +$1.2K
Exemplary-Shoreline
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 48¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Thirsty-Detector
33 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Over won
    $43K
    80% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.0K sold
  2. Under lost
    $11K
    20% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792306820).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? $489K 57 Won: Yes
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) $74K 6 Won: Ipswich Town FC
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17? $255K 14 Won: Yes
Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 $70K 3 Won: Over
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? $161K 28 Won: Yes
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska $343K 42 Won: Maja Chwalinska
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? $234K 43 Won: Yes
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17? $65K 19 Won: No
About this data · run 1792306820, computed 2026-10-18 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792306820 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed