Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales traded $66K on this market since Sep 28, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Intrepid-Holder
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 95¢ $33K —
0xf705…3ca7
161 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $15K
0x3a13…7ea6
no settled record
No @ 93¢ $14K —
That-Fabric
13 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $4.8K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $52K
    100% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $15K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 28 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792220425).

About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed