Polymarket market · Sports

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

43 whales traded $234K on this market since Oct 16, 92% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.3¢ more per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 92% of the whale buying on it. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 19 made +$116K and 4 lost −$10K: +$106K between them. Biggest win: New-Sickness, +$36K on Yes. Biggest loss: Hateful-Volunteer, −$4.2K on No.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 43
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
New-Sickness
187 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 41¢ $25K $22K +$36K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $29K — +$16K
Traumatic-Infancy-Colleague
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 43¢ $3.6K $11K —
Steep-Tummy
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $10K —
Flippant-Section
64 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 44¢ $10K — +$13K
Enraged-Due
197 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 42¢ $7.8K — +$11K
Colorless-Discussion-Steamroller
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 43¢ $1.7K $5.1K —
Curly-Soap
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 43¢ $1.7K $5.1K —
Thorny-Snowboarding
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.8K —
Punctual-Coverall
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.8K —
Unripe-Bubble
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $3.8K $2.5K +$4.9K
Broken-Retouching
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 41¢ $5.7K — +$8.2K
Made-Up-Remnant
54 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $5.7K —
Gentle-Mailbox
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $3.3K $2.0K +$1.1K
Grateful-Legume
17 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.2¢ $4.9K — +$39
Disgusting-Pet-Depressive
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.5K —
Intrepid-Gingerbread-Hexagon
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 41¢ $4.3K — +$6.2K
Hateful-Volunteer
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 56¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Second-Hand-Bumper
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.1K —
All-Peasant-Drug
1,000 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 61¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Unlined-Observation
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $2.5K — +$51
Warped-Scholar
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 43¢ $2.5K — +$3.3K
Dear-Blackboard
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.4K —
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.3K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $120K
    92% of whale buying · 22 buyers · $103K sold
  2. No lost
    $10K
    8% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792306820).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17? $65K 19 Won: No
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska $343K 42 Won: Maja Chwalinska
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) $74K 6 Won: Ipswich Town FC
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev $164K 22 Won: Rafael Jodar
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 $55K 9 Won: Over
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17? $255K 14 Won: Yes
Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 $70K 3 Won: Over
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? $161K 28 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1792306820, computed 2026-10-18 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792306820 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed