Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $116K into this market since Sep 4, 99% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Fair-Ingredient
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.7¢ $53K —
Velvety-Burn
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.73¢ $14K —
0xb5d1…6e35
no settled record
No @ 99.7¢ $12K —
0x3a53…a162
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.8¢ $3.4K $6.3K
Smoggy-Bribery
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.7¢ $9.5K —
Strong-Exit
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.7¢ $4.8K —
0x015d…b081
no settled record
sold only $0 $4.1K
Harsh-Macro
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.54¢ $3.5K —
Grown-Fence
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 99.67¢ $3.4K —
Bulky-Antler
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 0.2¢ $1.5K —
0x5f1b…b988
no settled record
No @ 99.7¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $104K
    99% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Yes
    $1.5K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 4 to Oct 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed