Polymarket market · Sports

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

28 whales traded $157K on this market since Oct 14, 70% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.8¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 70% of the whale buying on it. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$45K and 9 lost −$32K: +$13K between them. Biggest win: Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller, +$11K on Yes. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$14K on No.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 28
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,886 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 57¢ $23K — −$14K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $16K — −$3.5K
Quarrelsome-Slot
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $14K —
Impure-Roundabout
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $12K — +$238
Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $10K — +$11K
Unlined-Observation
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $4.3K $4.4K —
Trim-Winner-Amusement
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $6.6K — +$135
Spiffy-Revenue
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $6.1K — −$6.1K
Dizzy-Fellow
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.8K —
Quixotic-Boatload-Visor
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 40¢ $5.5K — +$8.2K
Flippant-Section
62 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 48¢ $5.0K — +$5.5K
0x8ba2…1650
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 45¢ $5.0K — +$6.1K
Colorless-Discussion-Steamroller
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 48¢ $5.0K — +$5.5K
Angelic-Closure
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.9K —
Gullible-Swimsuit
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $3.7K — +$62
Whopping-Molding
17 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $2.0K $1.6K −$417
Enlightened-Cop
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Jaunty-Promenade
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 41¢ $1.5K $1.6K +$73
Hurtful-Guarantee-Rhubarb
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $3.0K — +$3.1K
Biodegradable-Romaine
18 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 46¢ $3.0K — +$3.5K
Prestigious-Precedence
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $1.0K $1.1K +$144
Swift-Census
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Smart-Patrol
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,070 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 47¢ $1.4K — +$1.6K
Scrawny-Windshield-Equation
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 53¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $85K
    70% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $34K sold
  2. No lost
    $37K
    30% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $1.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? $4.94M 70 Won: Yes
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? $89K 19 Won: No
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) $59K 3 Won: Real Madrid CF
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? $166K 34 Won: Yes
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? $615K 37 Won: No
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? $73K 14 Won: Yes
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? $86K 10 Won: No
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 $59K 3 Won: Over
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed