Polymarket market · Other

Nebraska vs. Oregon

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

20 whales traded $193K on this market since Oct 18, 71% of their buying on Oregon. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
SELL $7.5K
sold Oregon @ 99.9¢ → won
Snappy-Basketball · 317 settled bets · +$26K Can't tell from luck
BUY $6.3K
bought Oregon @ 95¢ → won (+$331)
Enchanting-Glass · 24 settled bets · +$17K Can't tell from luck
BUY $9.7K
bought Oregon @ 39¢ → won (+$15K)
Careful-Gazebo · 135 settled bets · +$109K Can't tell from luck
BUY $9.3K
bought Nebraska @ 64¢ → lost (−$9.3K)
Corrupt-Poisoning · 340 settled bets · +$217K Can't tell from luck
BUY $5.1K
bought Nebraska @ 76¢ → lost (−$5.1K)
Harmless-Inclusion · 38 settled bets · +$3.2K Can't tell from luck
BUY $17K
bought Oregon @ 44¢ → won (+$21K)
Grown-Difference-Burnout · 199 settled bets · +$24K Beat the odds*
BUY $6.9K
bought Nebraska @ 58¢ → lost (−$6.9K)
Corrupt-Poisoning · 340 settled bets · +$217K Can't tell from luck
BUY $12K
bought Nebraska @ 52¢ → lost (−$12K)
Wordy-Littleneck · 333 settled bets · +$539K Can't tell from luck
BUY $5.6K
bought Nebraska @ 47¢ → lost (−$5.6K)
0x081c…f010 · 2 settled bets · +$3.5K Too few bets
BUY $56K
bought Oregon @ 59¢ → won (+$39K)
Unwieldy-Collagen · 109 settled bets · +$60K Can't tell from luck
BUY $5.2K
bought Oregon @ 57¢ → won (+$3.9K)
Corrupt-Poisoning · 340 settled bets · +$217K Can't tell from luck
BUY $5.0K
bought Oregon @ 57¢ → won (+$3.8K)
Possible-Analysis · 3 settled bets · +$4.9K Too few bets
BUY $6.7K
bought Oregon @ 63¢ → won (+$3.9K)
Snappy-Basketball · 317 settled bets · +$26K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

20 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Unwieldy-Collagen
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 59¢ $56K —
Corrupt-Poisoning
340 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nebraska @ 61¢ $26K —
Grown-Difference-Burnout
199 settled bets Beat the odds*
Oregon @ 45¢ $21K —
Snappy-Basketball
317 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 63¢ $6.7K $9.7K
Wordy-Littleneck
333 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nebraska @ 52¢ $12K —
Careful-Gazebo
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 39¢ $9.7K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,629 settled bets Beat the odds*
Oregon @ 67¢ $8.5K —
Enchanting-Glass
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 95¢ $6.3K —
0x081c…f010
2 settled bets Too few bets
Nebraska @ 47¢ $5.6K —
Harmless-Inclusion
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nebraska @ 76¢ $5.1K —
Possible-Analysis
3 settled bets Too few bets
Oregon @ 57¢ $5.0K —
Imaginary-Gallery
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nebraska @ 64¢ $3.6K $1.4K
Blissful-Difficulty
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nebraska @ 52¢ $3.8K —
Essential-Meteor
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 54¢ $3.8K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,243 settled bets Beat the odds*
Nebraska @ 73¢ $3.6K —
0x9fe8…2026
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.7K
Admirable-Loss
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nebraska @ 58¢ $1.2K —
Expert-Giant
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nebraska @ 64¢ $1.1K —
Alienated-Adaptation-Likelihood
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K
Yummy-Orchard-Harm
9 settled bets Too few bets
Nebraska @ 37¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Oregon
    $127K
    71% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $14K sold
  2. Nebraska
    $52K
    29% of whale buying · 11 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792306820).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? $108K 16 Open
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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $496K 59 Open
Florida State vs. Miami (FL) $76K 12 Won: Miami (FL)
Wisconsin vs. UCLA $64K 11 Won: UCLA
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-17? $85K 5 Won: Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $251K 41 Open
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $196K 61 Open
About this data · run 1792306820, computed 2026-10-18 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792306820 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed