Polymarket market · Sports

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-14?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $50K on this market since Oct 14, 64% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 26 seconds later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 64% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$11K and 3 lost −$7.0K: +$3.9K between them. Biggest win: Realistic-Chive-Tenet, +$5.9K on No. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$3.1K on Yes.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Realistic-Chive-Tenet
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $36K — +$5.9K
Tame-Ethyl
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $7.5K — +$5.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,886 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 41¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 41¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Fake-Bitter
1,152 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 41¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $32K
    64% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $13K
    27% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $4.8K
    10% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-14? $66K 8 Won: No
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-14? $72K 4 Won: Yes
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-14? $108K 6 Won: Yes
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? $615K 37 Won: No
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? $166K 34 Won: Yes
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? $4.94M 70 Won: Yes
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? $157K 28 Won: Yes
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $519K 31 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed