Polymarket market · Sports
Florence: Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Resolved: Dmitry Popko won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $81K on this market since Oct 18, 51% of their buying on Daniele Rapagnetta. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 97% of the size there to buy. Dmitry Popko won, with 49% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$28K and 6 lost −$30K: −$2.4K between them. Biggest win: Shameless-Fifth-Ridge, +$23K on Dmitry Popko. Biggest loss: Celebrated-Isogloss-Citizenship, −$12K on Daniele Rapagnetta.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameless-Fifth-Ridge
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Dmitry Popko @ 40¢ | $16K | — | +$23K |
| Celebrated-Isogloss-Citizenship
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniele Rapagnetta @ 23¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Dmitry Popko @ 84¢ | $7.8K | — | +$1.5K |
| Frail-Ecosystem-Anagram
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniele Rapagnetta @ 24¢ | $4.9K | $1.9K | −$3.0K |
| 0x9d8e…3ab8
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $6.2K | — |
| Glaring-Salt
1,841 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Dmitry Popko @ 72¢ | $6.0K | — | +$234 |
| Yawning-Chicken
273 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Daniele Rapagnetta @ 53¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Venerated-Dozen
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Dmitry Popko @ 62¢ | $4.7K | — | +$2.9K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,264 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Daniele Rapagnetta @ 58¢ | $4.6K | — | −$4.6K |
| Irresponsible-Autumn
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniele Rapagnetta @ 53¢ | $3.2K | — | −$3.2K |
| Rigid-Harp-Ship
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniele Rapagnetta @ 62¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| 0x351f…b0d8
15 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Generous-Architecture
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Cumbersome-Dock-Shield
62 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Daniele Rapagnetta lost$34K51% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $6.9K sold
-
Dmitry Popko won$33K49% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $7.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | $72K | 11 | Won: Under | |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | $96K | 8 | Won: Yes | |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | $254K | 12 | Won: Texans | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | $172K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | $119K | 22 | Won: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
| Bears vs. Falcons | $61K | 8 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | $95K | 5 | Won: Steelers | |
| Titans vs. Colts | $90K | 13 | Won: Titans |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?