Polymarket market · Sports

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $82K on this market since Oct 15, 95% of their buying on Tampa Bay Rays. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
SELL $19K
sold Cleveland Guardians @ 48¢ → now 51¢
Rosy-Trinket · 112 settled bets · −$337K Can't tell from luck
BUY $6.9K
bought Tampa Bay Rays @ 51¢ → now 50¢ (−$204)
Substantial-Service · 839 settled bets · −$1.04M Beat the odds*
BUY $6.8K
bought Tampa Bay Rays @ 51¢ → now 50¢ (−$200)
Rubbery-Fingerling · 18 settled bets · −$16K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Substantial-Service
839 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tampa Bay Rays @ 51¢ $25K —
Rosy-Trinket
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $19K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
444 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 50¢ $10K —
Harmless-Region
209 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 52¢ $4.8K $4.7K
Rubbery-Fingerling
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 51¢ $6.8K —
Tall-Taxicab-Reply
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 51¢ $4.0K —
Tasty-Rutabaga
6 settled bets Too few bets
Tampa Bay Rays @ 50¢ $3.1K —
Cheap-Lark-Outfit
1 settled bets Too few bets
Cleveland Guardians @ 50¢ $1.8K —
0xa10e…2348
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.3K
Vigilant-Moai
6 settled bets Too few bets
Cleveland Guardians @ 50¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Tampa Bay Rays
    $53K
    95% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $6.0K sold
  2. Cleveland Guardians
    $2.8K
    5% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $19K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792220425).

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About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed