Polymarket market · Sports

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Resolved: Tampa Bay Rays won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $81K on this market since Oct 13, 89% of their buying on Tampa Bay Rays. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 83% of the size there to buy. Tampa Bay Rays won, with 89% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$40K and 3 lost −$6.2K: +$34K between them. Biggest win: Thick-Modeling, +$23K on Tampa Bay Rays. Biggest loss: Grown-Difference-Burnout, −$3.0K on Tampa Bay Rays.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Thick-Modeling
1 settled bets Too few bets
Tampa Bay Rays @ 56¢ $29K — +$23K
Powerless-Savannah
2,518 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tampa Bay Rays @ 81¢ $12K — +$1.3K
Conventional-Gumshoe
1 settled bets Too few bets
Tampa Bay Rays @ 56¢ $10K — +$8.1K
Snappy-Basketball
301 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 56¢ $4.6K $4.1K +$3.2K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
161 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tampa Bay Rays @ 87¢ $7.5K — −$3.0K
Discrete-Waffle-Exhibition
2 settled bets Too few bets
Tampa Bay Rays @ 73¢ $4.2K — +$1.5K
Imaginary-Gallery
267 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 58¢ $3.0K — +$2.2K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,724 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 70¢ $2.8K — +$1.2K
Best-Jogging
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 45¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Vigilant-Moai
6 settled bets Too few bets
Cleveland Guardians @ 45¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Tampa Bay Rays won
    $69K
    89% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $4.1K sold
  2. Cleveland Guardians lost
    $8.1K
    11% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791961222).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Warriors vs. Lakers $77K 16 Won: Warriors
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? $136K 7 Open
Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska $50K 8 Won: Maja Chwalinska
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar $84K 24 Open
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? $92K 12 Won: Yes
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) $64K 5 Won: FC Barcelona
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? $51K 13 Won: No
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? $88K 24 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed