Polymarket market · Sports

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

38 whales traded $989K on this market since Oct 12, 81% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 66% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 19% of the whale buying on it. Of the 28 whales whose whole position we captured, 24 made +$43K and 4 lost −$784K: −$740K between them. Biggest win: Favorite-Sneakers-Rubric, +$7.4K on Yes. Biggest loss: Ragged-Aspect-Earring, −$758K on No.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 38
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ragged-Aspect-Earring
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 33¢ $758K — −$758K
Unaware-Listing
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 96¢ $25K — +$988
Proud-Patrolling-Nose
152 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 96¢ $20K — +$813
International-Deal
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.29¢ $20K — +$142
Pristine-Hatred
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 32¢ $16K — −$16K
Fake-Bitter
1,152 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 68¢ $15K — +$7.0K
Favorite-Sneakers-Rubric
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 65¢ $14K — +$7.4K
Flimsy-Magic
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $14K — +$14
Scary-Farming
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 70¢ $13K — +$5.4K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,886 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 79¢ $11K — +$3.0K
Miserable-Poison
1,114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 66¢ $11K — +$5.5K
Steep-Tummy
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 96¢ $10K — +$484
0x5bc3…7a59
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 32¢ $6.9K — −$6.9K
Intrepid-Gingerbread-Hexagon
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 67¢ $4.4K — +$2.2K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,070 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 71¢ $1.9K $2.2K +$776
Vigilant-Environment
167 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $4.1K — +$910
Imaginative-River
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.2¢ $4.0K — +$32
Clear-Burnout
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 68¢ $3.8K — +$1.8K
Unlined-Observation
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.4K —
Sandy-Nightingale
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $3.2K — +$1.7K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 68¢ $2.6K — +$1.2K
Miniature-Ad
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 24¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Respectful-Oat-Fantasy
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $2.6K — +$1.0K
Swift-Census
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 68¢ $2.0K — +$960
Traumatic-Heartwood
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.25¢ $2.0K — +$15

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $784K
    81% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $188K
    19% of whale buying · 24 buyers · $17K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 12 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) $458K 10 Won: Liverpool FC
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? $81K 17 Won: No
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? $63K 18 Won: Yes
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 $76K 7 Won: Under
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 $59K 3 Won: Over
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? $86K 10 Won: No
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 $120K 4 Won: Over
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) $112K 5 Won: Aston Villa FC
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed