Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
Resolved: FURIA won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $107K on this market since Oct 17, 77% of their buying on FURIA. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. FURIA won, with 77% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$51K and 3 lost −$20K: +$32K between them. Biggest win: Variable-Ski, +$18K on FURIA. Biggest loss: Rosy-Trinket, −$14K on Aurora Gaming.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable-Ski
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 53¢ | $21K | $4.8K | +$18K |
| Creative-Midwife
184 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 54¢ | $21K | — | +$18K |
| Rosy-Trinket
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 46¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Misty-Request
206 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 53¢ | $5.3K | — | +$4.7K |
| Metallic-Use
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 53¢ | $2.0K | $3.1K | +$1.1K |
| Guilty-Aide
38 settled bets Beat the odds* |
FURIA @ 54¢ | $5.0K | — | +$4.3K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,118 settled bets Worse than the odds |
FURIA @ 89¢ | $1.8K | $2.4K | — |
| Tight-Hemisphere
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 71¢ | $3.6K | — | +$1.4K |
| Terrible-Isolation-Birdhouse
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 47¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Likely-Feedback
46 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Junior-Compass-Spud
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Verifiable-Default
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Tall-Taxicab-Reply
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 54¢ | $2.3K | — | +$1.9K |
| Bland-Tug
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 48¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Sour-Assertion
8 settled bets Too few bets |
FURIA @ 55¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.2K |
| Compassionate-Switchboard-Casino
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Inconsequential-Nougat
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Sociable-Military
2 settled bets Too few bets |
FURIA @ 89¢ | $1.3K | — | +$155 |
| Flaky-Integer
332 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
FURIA @ 80¢ | $1.2K | — | +$300 |
Where the whale money went
-
FURIA won$66K77% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $22K sold
-
Aurora Gaming lost$20K23% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $104K | 22 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $514K | 46 | Open | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $55K | 19 | Open | |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17? | $72K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | $153K | 10 | Open | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 12 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?