Polymarket market · Sports

Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula

Resolved: Jelena Ostapenko won · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales traded $202K on this market since Oct 14, 84% of their buying on Jessica Pegula. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Jelena Ostapenko won, with 14% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$26K and 6 lost −$80K: −$54K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$14K on Jelena Ostapenko. Biggest loss: Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament, −$71K on Jessica Pegula.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament
13 settled bets Too few bets
Jessica Pegula @ 85¢ $71K — −$71K
Far-Off-Candidate
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jessica Pegula @ 89¢ $20K $43K —
Quixotic-Brow
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $22K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,173 settled bets Beat the odds*
Jelena Ostapenko @ 62¢ $8.1K — +$705
Admired-Doubter
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.7K —
Cuddly-Misfit-Prayer
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 77¢ $2.0K $2.6K +$612
Dimpled-Fishbone
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.5K —
Illustrious-Pinecone
188 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 93¢ $1.5K $2.1K —
Grateful-Chest
250 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jessica Pegula @ 40¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Powerless-Savannah
2,541 settled bets Beat the odds*
Jessica Pegula @ 92¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,008 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 15¢ $2.4K — +$14K
Scary-Edible
1,432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 95¢ $2.3K — +$120
Steep-Tummy
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jessica Pegula @ 86¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Meager-Flair-Wait
70 settled bets Worse than the odds
Jelena Ostapenko @ 15¢ $1.5K — +$8.4K
Excellent-Figure
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Fresh-Desktop
7 settled bets Too few bets
Jessica Pegula @ 91¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Golden-Developer-Walk
9 settled bets Too few bets
Jessica Pegula @ 79¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Pointless-Illustration
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$981
Metallic-Use
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 36¢ $1.0K — +$1.8K

Where the whale money went

  1. Jessica Pegula lost
    $100K
    84% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $6.6K sold
  2. Jelena Ostapenko won
    $17K
    14% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $76K sold
  3. Jelena Ostapenko lost
    $2.6K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792047640).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo $227K 22 Won: Hanyu Guo
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas $212K 13 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee $109K 14 Won: Ashlyn Krueger
Wuhan Tennis Open: Janice Tjen vs Daria Snigur $74K 11 Won: Janice Tjen
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally $75K 18 Won: Karolina Muchova
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li $111K 31 Won: Ann Li
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar $84K 24 Won: Rafael Jodar
Lisbon: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela $167K 4 Won: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed