Polymarket market · Esports

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Resolved: 100 Thieves won · See it on Polymarket ↗

30 whales traded $90K on this market since Oct 14, 64% of their buying on 100 Thieves. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. 100 Thieves won, with 64% of the whale buying on it. Of the 21 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$19K and 11 lost −$21K: −$2.6K between them. Biggest win: Any-Keystone, +$7.7K on 100 Thieves. Biggest loss: Itchy-Caterpillar, −$3.6K on G2 Esports.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 30
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Any-Keystone
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 65¢ $14K — +$7.7K
Turbulent-Corps-Card
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 77¢ $10K — +$3.0K
Unruly-Rocker
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 50¢ $1.9K $5.5K —
Worrisome-Winery
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.6K —
Thirsty-Detector
32 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Itchy-Caterpillar
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck
G2 Esports @ 36¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
Worst-Analogue
406 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 60¢ $3.5K — +$485
Alert-Twister-Chicken
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
G2 Esports @ 40¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,096 settled bets Worse than the odds
100 Thieves @ 77¢ $2.9K — +$878
Flaky-Integer
320 settled bets Can't tell from luck
G2 Esports @ 72¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Wide-Sprout
57 settled bets Beat the odds*
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Cautious-Backup
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 49¢ $2.5K — +$515
Distant-Pomelo
171 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 67¢ $2.4K — +$1.2K
Discrete-Century
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
G2 Esports @ 42¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Salty-Derivative-Stench
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Thoughtful-Shallot
7 settled bets Too few bets
100 Thieves @ 57¢ $2.0K — +$1.5K
Leading-Parking
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 65¢ $2.0K — +$1.1K
Identical-Smith
3 settled bets Too few bets
G2 Esports @ 37¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Puny-Attachment
5 settled bets Too few bets
G2 Esports @ 21¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Fatherly-Bungalow-Haunt
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Acceptable-Weather
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
G2 Esports @ 45¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Idolized-Haste
5 settled bets Too few bets
G2 Esports @ 36¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Dazzling-Hybridization-Calculation
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
100 Thieves @ 41¢ $1.3K — +$1.9K
Dear-Workplace
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Unruly-Insurrection
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. 100 Thieves won
    $42K
    64% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $23K sold
  2. G2 Esports lost
    $24K
    36% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $1.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792220425).

More esports markets the whales bet on

All Esports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $130K 37 Won: LOUD
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner $59K 16 Won: Karmine Corp
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In $165K 13 Won: Karmine Corp
LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner $144K 18 Won: Karmine Corp
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) $81K 4 Won: FURIA Esports
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner $88K 25 Won: FURIA Esports
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner $102K 31 Won: FURIA Esports
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In $392K 19 Won: FURIA Esports
About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed