Polymarket markets

Whale markets

2,511 Polymarket markets drew at least $50K from 3 or more whales since Aug 20; 2,382 have settled. Pick a category, or open a market to see who bet what and, once it settles, who was right.

Updated , from run 1791710133

Newest whale markets

25 of 2,511
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $172K 16 Open
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.47M 178 Open
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? $330K 44 Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $139K 22 Open
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? $88K 40 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $235K 39 Open
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? $96K 28 Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? $621K 72 Open
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? $62K 15 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $170K 26 Open
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? $64K 18 Open
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $365K 52 Open
Georgia vs. Alabama $126K 17 Won: Georgia
LSU vs. Kentucky $177K 10 Won: Kentucky
Xi Jinping out before 2027? $420K 46 Open
Texas vs. Oklahoma $122K 16 Won: Oklahoma
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $161K 56 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? $123K 18 Open
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? $157K 28 Open
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) $84K 5 Open
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? $183K 29 Open
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? $144K 18 Won: Yes
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $106K 27 Won: MOUZ
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? $149K 27 Open
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? $59K 5 Won: No
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed