Polymarket market · Sports
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $72K on this market since Oct 18, 96% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 119 seconds later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 96% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$63K and 1 lost −$2.8K: +$60K between them. Biggest win: Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir, +$38K on Under. Biggest loss: 0x71e9…bc32, −$2.8K on Over.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 52¢ | $41K | — | +$38K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 45¢ | $7.9K | — | +$9.7K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,841 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 48¢ | $5.0K | — | +$5.4K |
| 0x8191…da72
278 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 79¢ | $4.3K | — | +$1.2K |
| 0x8ba2…1650
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 48¢ | $3.0K | — | +$3.3K |
| 0x71e9…bc32
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 46¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,183 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 47¢ | $2.7K | — | +$3.0K |
| Repulsive-Hubris
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 46¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.7K |
| Fluffy-Problem
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| 0xc4be…b314
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Under @ 56¢ | $1.2K | — | +$911 |
Where the whale money went
-
Under won$66K96% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.5K sold
-
Over lost$2.8K4% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence: Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta | $81K | 14 | Won: Dmitry Popko | |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | $96K | 8 | Won: Yes | |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | $254K | 12 | Won: Texans | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | $172K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar | $119K | 22 | Won: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
| Bears vs. Falcons | $61K | 8 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | $95K | 5 | Won: Steelers | |
| Titans vs. Colts | $90K | 13 | Won: Titans |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?