Polymarket market · Sports

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-14?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales traded $108K on this market since Oct 14, 54% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 33 seconds later would have cost 1.4¢ more per share, with 95% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 44% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$66K and 3 lost −$59K: +$6.7K between them. Biggest win: Clueless-Millet-Medicine, +$66K on Yes. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$50K on No.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,008 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $50K — −$50K
Clueless-Millet-Medicine
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 38¢ $41K — +$66K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,828 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $8.5K — −$2.8K
Fake-Bitter
1,140 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Milky-Kilt-Cockroach
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Insubstantial-Sector
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.0K — +$1

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $58K
    54% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $47K
    44% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.5K sold
  3. No lost
    $1.5K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792047640).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $519K 31 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
Stars vs. Avalanche $79K 10 Won: Stars
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-14? $72K 4 Won: Yes
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-14? $66K 8 Won: No
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-14? $50K 5 Won: No
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider $96K 15 Won: Diana Shnaider
Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo $62K 11 Open
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? $615K 37 Won: No
About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed