Polymarket market · Other
Florida vs. Texas
Resolved: Florida won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $103K on this market since Oct 17, 57% of their buying on Texas. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 76% of the size there to buy. Florida won, with 43% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$48K and 4 lost −$57K: −$9.6K between them. Biggest win: Shoddy-Harmonise, +$48K on Florida. Biggest loss: Boring-Musician, −$33K on Texas.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shoddy-Harmonise
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Florida @ 47¢ | $42K | — | +$48K |
| Boring-Musician
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Texas @ 81¢ | $33K | — | −$33K |
| Heavenly-Numismatist
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Texas @ 82¢ | $21K | — | −$21K |
| Unwelcome-Rancher-Octagon
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Texas @ 80¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Discrete-Shift
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Earnest-Comma
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Florida @ 81¢ | $1.2K | — | +$276 |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Texas @ 92¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Texas lost$57K57% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Florida won$43K43% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $2.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17? | $59K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: O/U 49.5 | $72K | 4 | Won: Under | |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | $464K | 43 | Won: Yes | |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $66K | 18 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $133K | 41 | Open | |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | $97K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $172K | 13 | Won: FC Barcelona | |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | $51K | 3 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?