Polymarket market · Other

Memphis vs. Tulane

Resolved: Tulane won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $86K on this market since Oct 16, 60% of their buying on Memphis. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Tulane won, with 40% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$18K and 9 lost −$46K: −$28K between them. Biggest win: Careful-Gazebo, +$8.1K on Tulane. Biggest loss: Shoddy-Harmonise, −$16K on Memphis.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Shoddy-Harmonise
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 77¢ $16K — −$16K
0xe015…6ffd
146 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tulane @ 71¢ $13K — +$5.4K
Hateful-Chord
171 settled bets Beat the odds*
Memphis @ 69¢ $12K — −$12K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
177 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tulane @ 62¢ $8.1K — +$2.4K
Careful-Gazebo
132 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tulane @ 48¢ $7.6K — +$8.1K
Valid-Underground
9 settled bets Too few bets
Memphis @ 69¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Plush-Tutu
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.7K —
Sparse-Outset
384 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 76¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Likely-Feedback
34 settled bets Worse than the odds
Memphis @ 38¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Powerless-Savannah
2,597 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tulane @ 77¢ $3.1K — −$693
Solid-Porcelain
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 69¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Scary-Fannypack
154 settled bets Beat the odds*
Memphis @ 81¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Shiny-Advertisement
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Mellow-Settlement
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tulane @ 88¢ $1.5K — +$214
Wooden-Breath
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tulane @ 47¢ $1.5K — +$1.7K
Illiterate-Counterforce
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Memphis @ 44¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. Memphis lost
    $48K
    60% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $5.3K sold
  2. Tulane won
    $32K
    40% of whale buying · 6 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792220425).

More other markets the whales bet on

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About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed