Polymarket market · Sports
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar
Resolved: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won · See it on Polymarket ↗
22 whales traded $119K on this market since Oct 18, 71% of their buying on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 108 seconds later would have cost 4.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won, with 71% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$61K and 6 lost −$20K: +$40K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$27K on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Biggest loss: Rusty-Reminder, −$6.7K on Rafael Jodar.
The whales on this market
22 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $15K | — |
| Far-Off-Candidate
180 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 82¢ | $15K | — | +$3.2K |
| Naughty-Tab
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 47¢ | $7.6K | $5.3K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 22¢ | $9.2K | — | +$27K |
| Colorless-Discussion-Steamroller
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.4K | — |
| Curly-Soap
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.3K | — |
| Rusty-Reminder
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 73¢ | $6.7K | — | −$6.7K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 43¢ | $6.7K | — | +$8.9K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,264 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 37¢ | $6.3K | — | +$11K |
| Wrathful-Row
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 68¢ | $5.3K | — | +$2.5K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,129 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Rafael Jodar @ 82¢ | $4.2K | — | −$4.2K |
| Smoggy-Veterinarian
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.8K | — |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
231 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 93¢ | $3.2K | — | −$3.2K |
| Quixotic-Brow
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 31¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,647 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 90¢ | $2.3K | — | +$261 |
| Irresponsible-Autumn
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 39¢ | $2.3K | — | +$3.7K |
| New-Hammock
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 58¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Flimsy-Notebook
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Illustrious-Budget
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,003 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 81¢ | $1.1K | — | +$264 |
| 0xde5d…9192
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Rafael Jodar @ 55¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Aged-Pacemaker
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 20¢ | $1.0K | — | +$4.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won$55K71% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $41K sold
-
Rafael Jodar lost$23K29% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | $96K | 8 | Won: Yes | |
| Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | $72K | 11 | Won: Under | |
| Florence: Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta | $81K | 14 | Won: Dmitry Popko | |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | $254K | 12 | Won: Texans | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | $177K | 30 | Won: Tampa Bay Rays | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | $172K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa | $116K | 3 | Won: Katarzyna Kawa | |
| Bruins vs. Kings | $61K | 8 | Won: Bruins |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?