Polymarket market · Other
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $83K on this market since Oct 17, 83% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. No won, with 17% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$29K and 6 lost −$69K: −$40K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$18K on No. Biggest loss: Busy-Wolf-Spectacle, −$37K on Yes.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 68¢ | $37K | — | −$37K |
| Prestigious-Precedence
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 70¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Stingy-Waterfront
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 70¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 32¢ | $8.5K | — | +$18K |
| Calm-Gossip
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 33¢ | $3.3K | — | +$6.7K |
| Showy-Downgrade
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 69¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 36¢ | $2.2K | — | +$3.9K |
| Glass-Treat
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Foolhardy-Native-Youth
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$69K83% of whale buying · 6 buyers
-
No won$14K17% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 12 | Won: No | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $514K | 46 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $107K | 19 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17? | $72K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $104K | 22 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | $153K | 10 | Open | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17? | $145K | 19 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?