Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

Resolved: Broncos won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales traded $108K on this market since Oct 13, 89% of their buying on Seahawks. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 52 seconds later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Broncos won, with 11% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$14K and 4 lost −$95K: −$82K between them. Biggest win: Short-Term-Valance, +$11K on Broncos. Biggest loss: Half-Mime, −$49K on Seahawks.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Half-Mime
2 settled bets Too few bets
Seahawks @ 51¢ $49K — −$49K
Scary-Fannypack
150 settled bets Beat the odds*
Seahawks @ 50¢ $32K — −$32K
Hoarse-Atom
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seahawks @ 51¢ $13K — −$13K
Short-Term-Valance
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 45¢ $8.8K — +$11K
Incomplete-Suppression-Theory
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
0xb5de…cabe
26 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
0x9b11…5375
167 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seahawks @ 43¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Imperturbable-Counter
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Seahawks lost
    $95K
    89% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Broncos won
    $12K
    11% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Seahawks vs. Broncos $637K 52 Won: Broncos
Utah vs. Oilers $179K 8 Won: Utah
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $95K 26 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
Raptors vs. Knicks $77K 19 Won: Knicks
Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko $118K 17 Won: Jelena Ostapenko
W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru $80K 10 Won: Juliette Mazzoni
Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki $55K 10 Open
Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal $278K 34 Open
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed