Polymarket market · Other
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $145K on this market since Oct 17, 80% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 96% of the size there to buy. No won, with 80% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$104K and 11 lost −$26K: +$78K between them. Biggest win: Gregarious-Pianist-Boysenberry, +$51K on No. Biggest loss: 0x45c0…c845, −$5.0K on Yes.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregarious-Pianist-Boysenberry
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 47¢ | $45K | — | +$51K |
| Feisty-Mention
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 45¢ | $33K | — | +$40K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 94¢ | $16K | — | +$1.1K |
| Foolish-Complexity-Columnist
37 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 47¢ | $9.4K | — | +$11K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,161 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 86¢ | $5.3K | — | +$865 |
| 0x45c0…c845
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 48¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| 0xe051…df86
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 53¢ | $4.4K | — | −$4.4K |
| Scornful-West
189 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.2K | — |
| Superior-Artificer-Heifer
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $3.0K | $1.1K | −$1.9K |
| Memorable-Maelstrom
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Stupendous-Shirtdress-Resolution
22 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 56¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Probable-Hypothesis
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Whole-Command
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 20¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Haunting-Bottomline-Intentionality
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 20¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Inferior-Freon
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Swift-Census
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Practical-Marriage
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 54¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Unripe-Bubble
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 53¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| 0x8ae5…4f22
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$109K80% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Yes lost$27K20% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $9.2K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $539K | 61 | Open | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? | $161K | 26 | Won: Yes | |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 12 | Won: No | |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $55K | 19 | Open | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $514K | 46 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $107K | 19 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17? | $72K | 19 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?