Polymarket market · Other

Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston

Resolved: Western Kentucky won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales traded $147K on this market since Oct 14, 84% of their buying on Western Kentucky. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 10 minutes later would have cost 4.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Western Kentucky won, with 84% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$54K and 5 lost −$16K: +$38K between them. Biggest win: Variable-Recovery-Triumph, +$18K on Western Kentucky. Biggest loss: Scary-Fannypack, −$6.5K on Sam Houston.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xe015…6ffd
138 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Western Kentucky @ 81¢ $33K — +$7.8K
Smart-Elbow
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Western Kentucky @ 68¢ $31K — +$4.8K
Normal-Check
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Western Kentucky @ 68¢ $22K — +$10K
Variable-Recovery-Triumph
2 settled bets Too few bets
Western Kentucky @ 52¢ $19K — +$18K
Corrupt-Poisoning
317 settled bets Beat the odds*
Western Kentucky @ 70¢ $14K — +$6.1K
Scary-Fannypack
146 settled bets Beat the odds*
Sam Houston @ 34¢ $6.5K — −$6.5K
0x16bb…8492
146 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Western Kentucky @ 51¢ $4.0K — +$3.9K
Royal-Gland
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sam Houston @ 49¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Glaring-Salt
1,709 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sam Houston @ 49¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Motionless-Administration
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Grown-Difference-Burnout
166 settled bets Beat the odds*
Western Kentucky @ 63¢ $2.5K — +$1.5K
Recent-Sky-Person
1 settled bets Too few bets
Western Kentucky @ 52¢ $2.5K — +$2.3K
Scary-Edible
1,432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sam Houston @ 31¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Decisive-Conga
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sam Houston @ 49¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Western Kentucky won
    $121K
    84% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $2.8K sold
  2. Sam Houston lost
    $23K
    16% of whale buying · 6 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792047640).

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed