Polymarket market · Sports
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider
Resolved: Diana Shnaider won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $96K on this market since Oct 14, 61% of their buying on Karolina Muchova. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Diana Shnaider won, with 39% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$13K and 4 lost −$37K: −$24K between them. Biggest win: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, +$4.9K on Diana Shnaider. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$21K on Karolina Muchova.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karolina Muchova @ 48¢ | $28K | — | −$21K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,724 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karolina Muchova @ 50¢ | $15K | — | −$11K |
| Drafty-Description
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $9.7K | — |
| Rusty-Reminder
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Diana Shnaider @ 67¢ | $6.9K | — | +$3.4K |
| Pointless-Illustration
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.0K | — |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,190 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Diana Shnaider @ 53¢ | $5.5K | — | +$4.9K |
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Diana Shnaider @ 68¢ | $4.9K | — | +$2.3K |
| Knowledgeable-Steel
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karolina Muchova @ 48¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Unhealthy-Forelimb
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Far-Off-Candidate
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Diana Shnaider @ 87¢ | $2.9K | — | +$429 |
| Necessary-Vector-Lip
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Impractical-Convenience-Messy
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Metallic-Use
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Diana Shnaider @ 52¢ | $2.4K | — | +$2.2K |
| Acceptable-Weather
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Karolina Muchova @ 12¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Powerful-Mastoid
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Karolina Muchova lost$43K61% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Diana Shnaider won$28K39% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $25K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792134019).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo | $65K | 12 | Won: Elina Svitolina | |
| Stars vs. Avalanche | $79K | 10 | Won: Stars | |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $519K | 31 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska | $72K | 15 | Won: Maja Chwalinska | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari | $51K | 12 | Won: Maria Sakkari | |
| Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-14? | $108K | 6 | Won: Yes | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenko | $67K | 12 | Won: Jelena Ostapenko | |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-14? | $72K | 4 | Won: Yes |