Polymarket market · Other

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $75K on this market since Oct 18, 72% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 108 seconds later would have cost 1.5¢ less per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 28% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$47K and 6 lost −$45K: +$1.9K between them. Biggest win: Careful-Noir-Equinox, +$28K on Yes. Biggest loss: Feisty-Mention, −$16K on No.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Feisty-Mention
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 48¢ $16K — −$16K
Esteemed-Cloves
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 47¢ $13K — −$13K
Complete-Boyfriend
19 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.1K —
Lost-Hardboard
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Present-Grape-Drinking
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Sharp-Crisis-Opposite
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 28¢ $4.5K — +$11K
Miserable-Poison
1,183 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $4.0K — +$3.8K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $4.0K — +$1.4K
Unfolded-Saffron
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Yawning-Chicken
273 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 86¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Careful-Noir-Equinox
166 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 8¢ $2.3K — +$28K
Troubled-Analog-Cheetah
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $1.8K — +$1.8K
Warm-Cayenne
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Milky-Kilt-Cockroach
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
First-Sousaphone
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $45K
    72% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $18K
    28% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $12K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792393220).

About this data · run 1792393220, computed 2026-10-19 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792393220 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed