Polymarket market · Other

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

43 whales put $322K into this market since Sep 30, 84% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 43
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Fruitful-Succotash
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 92¢ $62K —
0xa551…e050
no settled record
Yes @ 13¢ $44K —
Serene-Sculpting
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $25K —
Grounded-Depression
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 89¢ $10K $13K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 89¢ $21K —
Angry-Evaluation
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $15K —
Capital-Kiwi
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $12K —
0x894d…04e2
no settled record
No @ 90¢ $11K —
Distant-Inhibitor
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $7.0K $2.3K
Opulent-Right
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $8.1K —
Kaleidoscopic-Camp
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 91¢ $6.3K —
Spanish-Sustainment
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 91¢ $5.0K —
Tedious-Voter
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 92¢ $4.6K —
Snappy-Warden
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $4.6K —
Vibrant-Vintner
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.1K
Carefree-Activist
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $3.8K —
Limp-Drawer
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $1.1K $2.7K
Vague-Speech
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $3.6K —
Calm-Dusk
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $3.6K —
Impure-Contingency
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $3.5K —
Immense-Patriot
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.5K
Key-Sovereignty
36 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 91¢ $3.2K —
0x4fbf…f319
no settled record
No @ 87¢ $3.0K —
Limping-Veil
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $3.0K —
Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 93¢ $3.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $247K
    84% of whale buying · 38 buyers · $24K sold
  2. Yes
    $47K
    16% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $4.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed