Polymarket market · Sports
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev
Resolved: Rafael Jodar won · See it on Polymarket ↗
22 whales traded $164K on this market since Oct 17, 73% of their buying on Rafael Jodar. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.7¢ more per share, with 96% of the size there to buy. Rafael Jodar won, with 73% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$56K and 7 lost −$23K: +$33K between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$18K on Rafael Jodar. Biggest loss: Horrible-Recording, −$5.6K on Daniil Medvedev.
The whales on this market
22 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quixotic-Brow
172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 37¢ | $1.6K | $50K | — |
| Glaring-Salt
1,818 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 43¢ | $14K | — | +$18K |
| Far-Off-Candidate
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 86¢ | $4.7K | $5.5K | +$788 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,243 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Daniil Medvedev @ 39¢ | $9.6K | — | −$4.7K |
| Distant-Pomelo
182 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $9.4K | — |
| Wrathful-Row
187 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 87¢ | $3.9K | $4.6K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Rafael Jodar @ 55¢ | $8.2K | — | +$4.6K |
| Unimportant-Show
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Rafael Jodar @ 59¢ | $8.0K | — | +$5.6K |
| Guilty-Aide
38 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Rafael Jodar @ 49¢ | $7.8K | — | +$8.0K |
| Outlying-Recall
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 37¢ | $5.8K | — | +$9.9K |
| Horrible-Recording
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 56¢ | $5.6K | — | −$5.6K |
| Aged-Pacemaker
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 65¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Dazzling-Hybridization-Calculation
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 46¢ | $4.6K | — | +$5.4K |
| Mushy-Leveret
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 65¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Plush-Debate-Paddle
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Inconsequential-Archeology
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 54¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Treasured-Notoriety-Romance
36 settled bets Too few bets |
Rafael Jodar @ 77¢ | $2.1K | — | +$627 |
| Pleased-Hydrolysis-Coral
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 60¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
221 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 83¢ | $1.3K | — | +$266 |
| Flippant-Optimal-Science
40 settled bets Too few bets |
Rafael Jodar @ 39¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1.6K |
| Pointless-Illustration
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Rafael Jodar @ 47¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1.1K |
| Rundown-Pleasure
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 64¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Rafael Jodar won$66K73% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $72K sold
-
Daniil Medvedev lost$25K28% of whale buying · 8 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17? | $65K | 19 | Won: No | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | $234K | 43 | Won: Yes | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska | $343K | 42 | Won: Maja Chwalinska | |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | $74K | 6 | Won: Ipswich Town FC | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $188K | 20 | Won: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 | $55K | 9 | Won: Over | |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17? | $255K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 | $70K | 3 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?