Polymarket market · Other

Florida Atlantic vs. Army

Resolved: Army won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $145K on this market since Oct 17, 92% of their buying on Army. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Army won, with 92% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$105K and 3 lost −$12K: +$94K between them. Biggest win: Unwieldy-Collagen, +$105K on Army. Biggest loss: Silky-Geometry, −$5.7K on Florida Atlantic.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unwieldy-Collagen
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Army @ 55¢ $129K — +$105K
Silky-Geometry
233 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida Atlantic @ 46¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Handy-Disconnection
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Army @ 97¢ $4.4K — +$135
Careful-Gazebo
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida Atlantic @ 34¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Revolving-Wallet
64 settled bets Beat the odds*
Florida Atlantic @ 29¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K

Where the whale money went

  1. Army won
    $133K
    92% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Florida Atlantic lost
    $12K
    8% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792306820).

About this data · run 1792306820, computed 2026-10-18 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792306820 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed