Polymarket market · Other
Northwestern vs. Michigan State: O/U 49.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $72K on this market since Oct 17, 92% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 8% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$4.5K and 2 lost −$56K: −$52K between them. Biggest win: Used-Resume, +$4.5K on Under. Biggest loss: Limping-Normalization-Alluvium, −$39K on Over.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limping-Normalization-Alluvium
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 52¢ | $39K | — | −$39K |
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 52¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Used-Resume
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Under @ 52¢ | $4.9K | $9.5K | +$4.5K |
| 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Over lost$56K92% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.2K sold
-
Under won$4.9K8% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $9.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $66K | 18 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Florida vs. Texas | $103K | 7 | Won: Florida | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $133K | 41 | Open | |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17? | $59K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | $464K | 43 | Won: Yes | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | $98K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $431K | 40 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | $97K | 5 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?