Boring-Musician
0x67542c3219b37fd1610aad290676ff91cdbfe3bc
Boring-Musician: −$312K on 88 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 49% (95% range 39%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$312K
return −13.4%
Settled bets
88
$2.32M staked
Won
48.9%
95% range 39%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 84 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$156K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$156K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 19¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $5.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Lions
@ 50¢
Spread: Lions (-4.5) |
Spread: Lions (-4.5) | $1.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Falcons
@ 47¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $4.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Falcons
@ 53¢
Spread: Saints (-2.5) |
Spread: Saints (-2.5) | $4.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Lions
@ 66¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $98K |
| Oct 4 | BUY 49ers
@ 62¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $3.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY 49ers
@ 62¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $33K |
| Oct 4 | BUY 49ers
@ 62¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $3.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.