Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
Resolved: Raiders won · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $67K on this market since Oct 18, 90% of their buying on Bills. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 114 seconds later would have cost 0.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Raiders won, with 10% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$5.6K and 2 lost −$57K: −$51K between them. Biggest win: Grotesque-Answer, +$5.6K on Raiders. Biggest loss: Failing-Legacy, −$52K on Bills.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failing-Legacy
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bills @ 48¢ | $52K | — | −$52K |
| Grotesque-Answer
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Raiders @ 53¢ | $6.4K | — | +$5.6K |
| Rigid-Pricing
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Bills @ 48¢ | $4.8K | — | −$4.8K |
| 0xdeff…78f8
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Bills lost$57K90% of whale buying · 2 buyers
-
Raiders won$6.4K10% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $3.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Raiders | $398K | 24 | Won: Bills | |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) | $222K | 4 | Won: Raiders | |
| Chargers vs. Chiefs | $74K | 13 | Won: Chiefs | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | $174K | 14 | Won: Tampa Bay Rays | |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | $238K | 26 | Won: Cardinals | |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | $333K | 13 | Won: Steelers | |
| Saints vs. Giants | $171K | 8 | Won: Saints | |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | $60K | 13 | Won: Panthers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?