Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $136K on this market since Oct 12, 97% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 75 seconds later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

$126K from 2 whales, last 24h
BUY $33K
bought Yes @ 47¢ → now 47¢ (−$350)
Feisty-Mention · 61 settled bets · −$289K Can't tell from luck
BUY $93K
bought Yes @ 45¢ → now 47¢ (+$3.1K)
Hollow-Maggot-Sense · 1,137 settled bets · +$332K Beat the odds*

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,137 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 45¢ $93K —
Feisty-Mention
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $33K —
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.8K
Dishonest-Refuse
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 45¢ $2.1K —
Any-Hermit
15 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 53¢ $2.0K —
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
155 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 56¢ $1.8K —
Lumpy-Video
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 46¢ $1.6K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $129K
    97% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. No
    $3.8K
    3% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $2.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 12 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791961222).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska $50K 8 Won: Maja Chwalinska
Warriors vs. Lakers $77K 16 Won: Warriors
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar $84K 24 Open
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $81K 10 Won: Tampa Bay Rays
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? $92K 12 Won: Yes
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) $64K 5 Won: FC Barcelona
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? $51K 13 Won: No
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? $88K 24 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed