Polymarket market · Sports
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $59K on this market since Oct 17, 84% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 16% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$11K and 5 lost −$49K: −$37K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$9.3K on No. Biggest loss: Sparse-Rotation, −$20K on Yes.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparse-Rotation
18 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 58¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Realistic-Chive-Tenet
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $18K | — | −$18K |
| Black-Latter
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 58¢ | $7.1K | — | −$7.1K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 43¢ | $7.0K | — | +$9.3K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,264 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 49¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 66¢ | $1.2K | — | +$634 |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
220 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 43¢ | $1.1K | — | +$1.5K |
| Rosy-Airforce-Detention
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Magnificent-Occupation-Fiery
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 50¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$49K84% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
No won$9.4K16% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) | $88K | 9 | Won: Mike Malott | |
| Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild | $114K | 12 | Won: Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
| Bruins vs. Kings | $61K | 8 | Won: Bruins | |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa | $116K | 3 | Won: Katarzyna Kawa | |
| UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims) | $65K | 9 | Won: Steven Koslow | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | $177K | 30 | Won: Tampa Bay Rays | |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17? | $331K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | $242K | 13 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?