Polymarket market · Other
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $83K on this market since Oct 17, 73% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 92% of the size there to buy. No won, with 27% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$14K and 6 lost −$39K: −$25K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Revenue, +$6.5K on No. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$18K on Yes.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Utility
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $27K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 47¢ | $18K | — | −$18K |
| Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 55¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 45¢ | $5.3K | — | +$6.5K |
| Vivid-Suggestion
12 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 53¢ | $5.3K | — | +$4.7K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,161 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $4.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Fortunate-Plagiarism
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 61¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Exemplary-Hundred-Pendant
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 64¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Silver-Cart-Hospitalisation
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 58¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Imaginary-Gallery
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 37¢ | $1.2K | — | +$2.1K |
| Jaunty-Promenade
15 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Homely-Zucchini-Bit
242 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 52¢ | $1.0K | — | +$923 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$40K73% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.0K sold
-
No won$15K27% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $27K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $55K | 19 | Open | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $514K | 46 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $107K | 19 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17? | $72K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $104K | 22 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | $153K | 10 | Open | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17? | $145K | 19 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?