Polymarket market · Sports
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved: Cleveland Guardians won · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $65K on this market since Oct 12, 74% of their buying on Tampa Bay Rays. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 91% of the size there to buy. Cleveland Guardians won, with 26% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$30K and 11 lost −$46K: −$16K between them. Biggest win: Wordy-Littleneck, +$19K on Cleveland Guardians. Biggest loss: 0x16bb…8492, −$26K on Tampa Bay Rays.
In the live feed
Polymarket whale betsThe whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x16bb…8492
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 60¢ | $26K | — | −$26K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,123 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cleveland Guardians @ 45¢ | $6.7K | — | +$8.2K |
| Wordy-Littleneck
324 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cleveland Guardians @ 20¢ | $4.7K | — | +$19K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,506 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 81¢ | $4.4K | — | −$2.5K |
| Unpleasant-Dust
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 83¢ | $3.7K | — | −$3.7K |
| Substantial-Service
792 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 6¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Imperturbable-Serval-Subscription
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 55¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Wavy-Accountability-Pinstripe
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cleveland Guardians @ 40¢ | $2.0K | — | +$3.0K |
| 0xe98c…8792
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 53¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Treasured-Notoriety-Romance
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| 0x200c…a466
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Spotless-Girlfriend
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Baggy-Rice
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Irresponsible-Autumn
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 82¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Enchanting-Glass
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cleveland Guardians @ 99¢ | $1.2K | — | +$14 |
| Warped-Scholar
149 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 60¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Tampa Bay Rays lost$47K74% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $1.8K sold
-
Cleveland Guardians won$16K26% of whale buying · 5 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 12 to Oct 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791874803).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Rams | $845K | 60 | Won: Bills | |
| Bills vs. Rams: O/U 54.5 | $53K | 8 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) | $52K | 3 | Won: Bills | |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) | $255K | 9 | Won: Bills | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $189K | 22 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | $55K | 9 | Won: Bills | |
| Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | $55K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5 | $132K | 5 | Won: Under |