Polymarket market · Sports
Stars vs. Avalanche
Resolved: Stars won · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $79K on this market since Oct 14, 54% of their buying on Stars. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 65 seconds later would have cost 2.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Stars won, with 54% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$48K and 4 lost −$29K: +$19K between them. Biggest win: Grown-Difference-Burnout, +$45K on Stars. Biggest loss: Shocking-Bathroom, −$20K on Avalanche.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
166 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Stars @ 42¢ | $33K | — | +$45K |
| Shocking-Bathroom
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Avalanche @ 56¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Darling-Afterthought-Gambling
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Avalanche @ 58¢ | $6.3K | $2.5K | −$3.8K |
| Overlooked-Wetsuit
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.5K | — |
| Tame-Ethyl
36 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $3.5K | — |
| Indelible-Try
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Avalanche @ 59¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Medium-Electrocardiogram-Compassion
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Distant-Pomelo
165 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Stars @ 72¢ | $2.0K | — | +$766 |
| Worthless-Dose
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Avalanche @ 59¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Grimy-Vibrissae
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Stars @ 47¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.6K |
Where the whale money went
-
Stars won$36K54% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $6.9K sold
-
Avalanche lost$31K46% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792047640).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $519K | 31 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-14? | $108K | 6 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-14? | $72K | 4 | Won: Yes | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider | $96K | 15 | Won: Diana Shnaider | |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-14? | $66K | 8 | Won: No | |
| Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-14? | $50K | 5 | Won: No | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo | $62K | 11 | Open | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | $615K | 37 | Won: No |