Polymarket market · Sports
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $89K on this market since Oct 14, 59% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 12.6¢ less per share, with 84% of the size there to buy. No won, with 41% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$4.7K and 9 lost −$36K: −$31K between them. Biggest win: Superior-Artificer-Heifer, +$1.7K on No. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$13K on Yes.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,828 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 85¢ | $21K | — | −$13K |
| Substantial-Service
812 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 93¢ | $13K | — | −$9.7K |
| Proud-Patrolling-Nose
150 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $8.7K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,008 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 88¢ | $7.4K | — | −$399 |
| Frivolous-Risk
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 76¢ | $5.1K | $1.3K | −$3.8K |
| Superior-Artificer-Heifer
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 75¢ | $5.0K | — | +$1.7K |
| Leading-Parking
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 75¢ | $3.0K | — | +$994 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,055 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Miserable-Poison
1,104 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 74¢ | $2.7K | — | +$946 |
| Whole-Command
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 28¢ | $1.0K | $1.7K | +$677 |
| Opulent-Crawdad-Crumb
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 88¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Well-Worn-Framework-Inlay
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 80¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| 0xd8d9…62e2
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Worse-Glance
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $1.4K | — | +$451 |
| Rusty-Eagle
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 27¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Dapper-Championship
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Old-Peek
24 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Small-Gopher
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 82¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$41K59% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $5.9K sold
-
No won$28K41% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $14K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792047640).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | $4.94M | 70 | Won: Yes | |
| Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) | $59K | 3 | Won: Real Madrid CF | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | $157K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | $73K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | $166K | 34 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | $615K | 37 | Won: No | |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | $86K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | $59K | 3 | Won: Over |