Polymarket market · Other
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $109K on this market since Oct 15, 99% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 6.8¢ more per share, with 31% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 99% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$182K and 1 lost −$1.0K: +$181K between them. Biggest win: Yellow-Dress-Ballet, +$173K on Yes. Biggest loss: Wiry-Termite, −$1.0K on No.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheerful-Ephemera
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $54K | — | +$3.9K |
| Yellow-Dress-Ballet
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 10¢ | $19K | — | +$173K |
| Biodegradable-Kiosk
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $6.5K | — | +$805 |
| Peppery-Capital
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $5.1K | — | +$444 |
| Soupy-Wallaby
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.9¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4 |
| Simple-Tradition
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 97¢ | $3.8K | — | +$119 |
| Vivid-Outback
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K | — |
| Hearty-Coast
128 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 77¢ | $3.0K | — | +$903 |
| Ample-Dahlia-Tweet
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 57¢ | $2.4K | — | +$1.8K |
| Jumbo-Awareness-Crayfish
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Whole-Ceremony
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $1.3K | — | +$27 |
| Honored-Insight-Zero
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.2K | — | +$107 |
| Playful-Circulation
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Delectable-Makeup
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Wiry-Termite
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 88¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$101K99% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $7.6K sold
-
No lost$1.0K1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792134019).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | $69K | 11 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $81K | 29 | Open | |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion | $52K | 8 | Won: Georgia Southern | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | $118K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | $309K | 7 | Open | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $491K | 57 | Won: No | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $483K | 86 | Open | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $146K | 28 | Open |