Polymarket market · Other
Alabama vs. Tennessee
Resolved: Tennessee won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $67K on this market since Oct 17, 55% of their buying on Tennessee. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Tennessee won, with 55% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$17K and 6 lost −$25K: −$8.5K between them. Biggest win: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, +$9.0K on Tennessee. Biggest loss: Grown-Difference-Burnout, −$13K on Alabama.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
199 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alabama @ 66¢ | $24K | — | −$13K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,243 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tennessee @ 47¢ | $8.0K | — | +$9.0K |
| Scary-Edible
1,482 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tennessee @ 91¢ | $7.4K | — | +$734 |
| Distant-Pomelo
182 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alabama @ 67¢ | $5.8K | — | −$5.8K |
| Snappy-Basketball
317 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Sleepy-Disease-Squid
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tennessee @ 91¢ | $2.9K | — | −$897 |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,629 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tennessee @ 32¢ | $2.9K | — | +$6.0K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
221 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tennessee @ 93¢ | $2.3K | — | +$173 |
| Swift-Census
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alabama @ 75¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Aged-Clearance
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Alabama @ 30¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Bruised-Downfall
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alabama @ 30¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Dental-Ammunition
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Tennessee @ 84¢ | $1.2K | — | +$229 |
| Mellow-Settlement
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tennessee @ 72¢ | $1.2K | — | +$454 |
| Low-Belt
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tennessee @ 98¢ | $1.1K | — | +$22 |
Where the whale money went
-
Tennessee won$34K55% of whale buying · 9 buyers
-
Alabama lost$28K45% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $4.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State vs. South Florida | $71K | 4 | Won: South Florida | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $380K | 55 | Open | |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries | $173K | 11 | Won: Golden State Valkyries | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $113K | 32 | Open | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $196K | 61 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $251K | 41 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.53M | 122 | Open | |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? | $191K | 11 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?