Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs
Resolved: MIBR won · See it on Polymarket ↗
18 whales traded $93K on this market since Oct 15, 72% of their buying on Astralis. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.9¢ more per share, with 81% of the size there to buy. MIBR won, with 28% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$14K and 7 lost −$50K: −$36K between them. Biggest win: Treasured-Parchment, +$8.4K on MIBR. Biggest loss: Pleasant-Native, −$15K on Astralis.
The whales on this market
18 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant-Native
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Astralis @ 48¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,213 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Astralis @ 47¢ | $12K | — | −$6.7K |
| Untimely-Spite
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 48¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Sparse-Handgun
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 44¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Treasured-Parchment
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MIBR @ 49¢ | $7.9K | — | +$8.4K |
| Delicious-Attacker
505 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Astralis @ 62¢ | $7.2K | — | −$2.9K |
| Harmless-Region
209 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $5.6K | — |
| Impressive-Dresser
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MIBR @ 50¢ | $1.8K | $3.7K | — |
| Made-Up-Remnant
50 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $3.7K | — |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
203 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MIBR @ 89¢ | $2.5K | — | +$328 |
| Worrisome-Winery
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 78¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Slight-Spud
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,163 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MIBR @ 48¢ | $1.7K | — | +$1.8K |
| Far-Flung-Steppingstone-Foundation
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Likely-Feedback
34 settled bets Worse than the odds |
MIBR @ 27¢ | $1.3K | — | +$3.6K |
| Threadbare-Gopher-Bibliography
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Opulent-Device-Spelt
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Scary-Edible
1,454 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 28¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Astralis lost$54K72% of whale buying · 7 buyers
-
MIBR won$21K28% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $19K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792220425).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | $71K | 18 | Open | |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | $75K | 14 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | $159K | 24 | Open | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5 | $80K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $505K | 45 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | $114K | 18 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.49M | 121 | Open | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $196K | 19 | Open |