Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Resolved: FURIA won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales traded $104K on this market since Oct 17, 77% of their buying on FURIA. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 4.1¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. FURIA won, with 77% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$23K and 4 lost −$9.5K: +$13K between them. Biggest win: Alert-Twister-Chicken, +$13K on FURIA. Biggest loss: Discrete-Century, −$5.2K on Aurora Gaming.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Alert-Twister-Chicken
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 59¢ $18K $23K +$13K
Discrete-Century
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 30¢ $16K — −$5.2K
Far-Off-Candidate
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 78¢ $7.8K — +$2.2K
Inconsequential-Nougat
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.1K —
Flaky-Integer
332 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 39¢ $5.1K — −$1.2K
Impolite-Graph-Custard
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Wrathful-Row
187 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 80¢ $3.0K — +$756
Distant-Pomelo
182 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 70¢ $2.3K — +$1.0K
Finished-Cholesterol
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 44¢ $1.3K $1.0K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,118 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Quixotic-Brow
172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 36¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Likely-Feedback
46 settled bets Worse than the odds
FURIA @ 70¢ $1.8K — +$789
Damp-Square
16 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Illustrious-Pinecone
221 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 86¢ $1.5K — +$238
Superb-Steamroller
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 88¢ $1.3K — +$172
Yawning-Chili
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 56¢ $1.2K — +$974
Pure-Prejudice-Treasure
19 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Intentional-Probability
3 settled bets Too few bets
FURIA @ 58¢ $1.1K — +$797
Overlooked-Moment
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 43¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Legitimate-Rhythm
6 settled bets Too few bets
FURIA @ 57¢ $1.1K — +$817
Insistent-Workhorse
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 65¢ $1.0K — +$541
Trusty-Amusement
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 41¢ $1.0K — +$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. FURIA won
    $51K
    77% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $38K sold
  2. Aurora Gaming lost
    $15K
    23% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792306820).

About this data · run 1792306820, computed 2026-10-18 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792306820 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed