Whale leaderboard

Profit marked against how each market actually resolved, for wallets betting $1,000+ at a time. Every row shows how many bets it rests on and whether the record beats luck.

Polymarket Limitless

Before you copy anyone on this list: we picked the top 20% from the earlier weeks and copied their next trades, entries and exits, at the prices a follower could actually get. The whales made −4.5%; the copier made −7.0% (2,053 positions, out of sample).

#	Wallet	Profit	Skill or luck?	Won	Bets	Return	By window
1	Webbed-Myth 0x6d20…a165 · sports +$3.26M 60 bets · won 55% Can't tell from luck	+$3.26M	Can't tell from luck	55.0% 43%–67%	60	+25.4%	w1 +$3.26M
2	Busy-Wolf-Spectacle 0x0f6f…d977 · sports +$1.25M 21 bets · won 52% Can't tell from luck	+$1.25M	Can't tell from luck	52.4% 32%–72%	21	+28.5%	w2 +$1.38M w3 −$124K
3	Every-Love 0xcd30…f316 · esports +$499K 93 bets · won 52% Can't tell from luck	+$499K	Can't tell from luck	51.6% 42%–62%	93	+20.3%	w1 +$499K
4	Wordy-Littleneck 0x3dfb…abaf · sports +$497K 311 bets · won 44% Can't tell from luck	+$497K	Can't tell from luck	43.7% 38%–49%	311	+12.7%	w1 +$294K w2 +$148K w3 +$55K
5	Noteworthy-Quill-Shadow 0xb727…2a9d · other +$492K 64 bets · won 48% Can't tell from luck	+$492K	Can't tell from luck	48.4% 37%–60%	64	+39.9%	w1 −$68K w2 +$331K w3 +$228K
6	Prickly-Hype 0x5e94…5ba1 · sports +$271K 93 bets · won 48% Can't tell from luck	+$271K	Can't tell from luck	48.4% 39%–58%	93	+10.9%	w1 +$282K w2 −$1.5K w3 −$9.1K
7	Scaly-Insurrection 0xd570…e4f8 · esports +$241K 31 bets · won 65% Beat the odds*	+$241K	Beat the odds*	64.5% 47%–79%	31	+39.8%	w1 +$241K
8	Tall-Anorak 0x3970…44ce · sports +$211K 20 bets · won 60% Can't tell from luck	+$211K	Can't tell from luck	60.0% 39%–78%	20	+40.5%	w1 +$196K w2 +$15K
9	Taut-Semicolon 0x8a86…4998 · sports +$210K 156 bets · won 44% Can't tell from luck	+$210K	Can't tell from luck	44.2% 37%–52%	156	+6.2%	w1 +$81K w2 +$128K w3 +$416
10	Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement 0x1610…ae49 · sports +$196K 405 bets · won 42% Can't tell from luck	+$196K	Can't tell from luck	41.7% 37%–47%	405	+4.4%	w1 −$34K w2 +$226K w3 +$4.6K
11	Heavenly-Numismatist 0x9f2f…2ca8 · other +$196K 23 bets · won 65% Can't tell from luck	+$196K	Can't tell from luck	65.2% 45%–81%	23	+60.4%	w1 −$2.4K w2 +$55K w3 +$143K
12	Flaky-Campaign 0x1d1a…0df6 · sports +$185K 41 bets · won 63% Beat the odds*	+$185K	Beat the odds*	63.4% 48%–76%	41	+35.6%	w1 +$10K w2 −$70K w3 +$245K
13	Esteemed-Cloves 0x9243…658e · sports +$171K 52 bets · won 48% Can't tell from luck	+$171K	Can't tell from luck	48.1% 35%–61%	52	+11.7%	w1 −$33K w2 −$3.6K w3 +$208K
14	0x361b…74fe other +$165K 44 bets · won 80% Can't tell from luck	+$165K	Can't tell from luck	79.5% 66%–89%	44	+11.3%	w1 −$3.5K w2 +$62K w3 +$107K
15	Grown-Difference-Burnout 0x1f3a…895d · sports +$159K 89 bets · won 56% Can't tell from luck	+$159K	Can't tell from luck	56.2% 46%–66%	89	+13.7%	w3 +$159K
16	Threadbare-Skunk 0xc2e7…be51 · sports +$144K 22 bets · won 77% Can't tell from luck	+$144K	Can't tell from luck	77.3% 57%–90%	22	+14.4%	w1 +$86K w2 +$58K
17	Corrupt-Poisoning 0xf68a…5b1b · other +$141K 258 bets · won 62% Beat the odds*	+$141K	Beat the odds*	61.6% 56%–67%	258	+10.3%	w1 +$63K w2 −$68K w3 +$146K
18	0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3 0x9f15…bdb3 · esports +$136K 33 bets · won 61% Can't tell from luck	+$136K	Can't tell from luck	60.6% 44%–75%	33	+35.3%	w1 +$83K w2 +$13K w3 +$40K
19	0x16bb…8492 sports +$134K 133 bets · won 55% Can't tell from luck	+$134K	Can't tell from luck	54.9% 46%–63%	133	+9.5%	w1 −$30K w2 +$107K w3 +$58K
20	Crisp-Sleet-Pinafore 0xc9a2…77d3 · esports +$131K 20 bets · won 60% Can't tell from luck	+$131K	Can't tell from luck	60.0% 39%–78%	20	+39.7%	w1 +$131K
21	Menacing-Advance-Hacienda 0x73e3…1be9 · other +$129K 31 bets · won 74% Beat the odds*	+$129K	Beat the odds*	74.2% 57%–86%	31	+47.9%	w1 +$80K w2 +$50K
22	Glass-Supper 0xb52e…285c · other +$123K 48 bets · won 63% Beat the odds*	+$123K	Beat the odds*	62.5% 48%–75%	48	+33.8%	w1 +$323 w2 +$125K w3 −$2.6K
23	Hateful-Chord 0x27f7…44b0 · sports +$107K 157 bets · won 61% Beat the odds*	+$107K	Beat the odds*	61.1% 53%–68%	157	+13.1%	w1 −$31K w2 +$69K w3 +$69K
24	Stable-Armament 0xf559…f462 · sports +$103K 60 bets · won 53% Can't tell from luck	+$103K	Can't tell from luck	53.3% 41%–65%	60	+10.7%	w1 +$19K w2 +$42K w3 +$42K
25	Famous-Stonework 0x1d2e…896d · other +$97K 26 bets · won 62% Can't tell from luck	+$97K	Can't tell from luck	61.5% 43%–78%	26	+41.3%	w1 +$29K w2 +$68K
26	Frosty-Layer-Numismatist 0xcd65…ee96 · other +$94K 98 bets · won 43% Can't tell from luck	+$94K	Can't tell from luck	42.9% 34%–53%	98	+10.1%	w1 +$87K w2 +$7.2K
27	Pertinent-Advantage-Speedboat 0x2dc1…b33c · sports +$93K 29 bets · won 59% Can't tell from luck	+$93K	Can't tell from luck	58.6% 41%–75%	29	+9.4%	w1 +$32K w2 +$89K w3 −$28K
28	Baggy-Illustration 0xc0e4…dd38 · sports +$92K 167 bets · won 59% Can't tell from luck	+$92K	Can't tell from luck	58.7% 51%–66%	167	+14.9%	w2 +$47K w3 +$45K
29	Unacceptable-Barn 0xdf80…3259 · other +$92K 87 bets · won 85% Beat the odds*	+$92K	Beat the odds*	85.1% 76%–91%	87	+20.3%	w1 +$55K w2 +$17K w3 +$20K
30	Unlined-Brownie 0xc323…0077 · sports +$92K 74 bets · won 50% Can't tell from luck	+$92K	Can't tell from luck	50.0% 39%–61%	74	+13.3%	w1 +$29K w2 +$26K w3 +$37K
31	0x2089…712e other +$91K 36 bets · won 44% Can't tell from luck	+$91K	Can't tell from luck	44.4% 30%–60%	36	+28.2%	w1 +$33K w2 +$66K w3 −$8.1K
32	Hollow-Maggot-Sense 0x076d…8d4c · esports +$90K 951 bets · won 56% Beat the odds*	+$90K	Beat the odds*	56.4% 53%–60%	951	+1.9%	w1 −$79K w2 +$147K w3 +$21K
33	Glossy-Spy 0x04b1…d224 · esports +$88K 129 bets · won 63% Can't tell from luck	+$88K	Can't tell from luck	62.8% 54%–71%	129	+8.0%	w1 +$68K w2 +$19K w3 +$644
34	Lucky-Vision 0xc430…1ebf · sports +$85K 23 bets · won 52% Can't tell from luck	+$85K	Can't tell from luck	52.2% 33%–71%	23	+39.3%	w1 +$91K w2 +$2.1K w3 −$7.5K
35	Unwieldy-Supporter 0x224a…a3d5 · sports +$84K 432 bets · won 54% Can't tell from luck	+$84K	Can't tell from luck	53.7% 49%–58%	432	+2.9%	w1 +$33K w2 +$98K w3 −$48K
36	Foolhardy-Essence 0x04d5…66d8 · sports +$84K 24 bets · won 50% Can't tell from luck	+$84K	Can't tell from luck	50.0% 31%–69%	24	+13.1%	w1 −$192K w2 +$275K
37	Educated-Stonework 0xf5f9…87b0 · sports +$82K 41 bets · won 51% Can't tell from luck	+$82K	Can't tell from luck	51.2% 37%–66%	41	+18.8%	w1 +$97K w2 −$15K
38	Harmless-Fatigues 0xe2d0…7bbf · other +$81K 61 bets · won 33% Can't tell from luck	+$81K	Can't tell from luck	32.8% 22%–45%	61	+43.7%	w1 +$12K w2 +$36K w3 +$32K
39	Willing-Proposition 0x16b2…aa5a · other +$76K 70 bets · won 69% Beat the odds*	+$76K	Beat the odds*	68.6% 57%–78%	70	+60.6%	w1 +$26K w2 +$39K w3 +$11K
40	0xf3ce…a57a esports +$76K 78 bets · won 67% Beat the odds*	+$76K	Beat the odds*	66.7% 56%–76%	78	+17.9%	w1 +$34K w2 +$12K w3 +$30K
41	Stylish-Pattypan 0x3308…f04b · esports +$75K 159 bets · won 57% Can't tell from luck	+$75K	Can't tell from luck	56.6% 49%–64%	159	+11.9%	w1 +$7.1K w2 +$86K w3 −$18K
42	Wonderful-Patio 0xfc08…a137 · sports +$73K 46 bets · won 65% Beat the odds*	+$73K	Beat the odds*	65.2% 51%–77%	46	+52.7%	w1 +$30K w2 +$29K w3 +$13K
43	Flaky-Integer 0x6e2c…787c · other +$73K 218 bets · won 58% Can't tell from luck	+$73K	Can't tell from luck	57.8% 51%–64%	218	+6.5%	w1 +$49K w2 −$7.3K w3 +$31K
44	Perky-Lard-Bassinet 0xe760…f2f9 · esports +$72K 25 bets · won 52% Can't tell from luck	+$72K	Can't tell from luck	52.0% 34%–70%	25	+46.5%	w1 +$72K
45	Faint-Business 0x0a53…077b · other +$72K 23 bets · won 52% Can't tell from luck	+$72K	Can't tell from luck	52.2% 33%–71%	23	+26.1%	w1 −$7.2K w2 +$44K w3 +$35K
46	Coarse-Compost 0x2a21…9853 · esports +$71K 21 bets · won 52% Can't tell from luck	+$71K	Can't tell from luck	52.4% 32%–72%	21	+38.0%	w1 +$69K w2 +$1.6K
47	Cooperative-Nestmate 0x4956…e2c7 · other +$70K 40 bets · won 55% Can't tell from luck	+$70K	Can't tell from luck	55.0% 40%–69%	40	+27.4%	w1 +$87K w2 −$15K w3 −$2.3K
48	Itchy-Citron 0x08c2…c023 · esports +$67K 78 bets · won 65% Can't tell from luck	+$67K	Can't tell from luck	65.4% 54%–75%	78	+21.7%	w1 +$30K w2 +$3.6K w3 +$34K
49	Impeccable-Vermicelli 0xdc83…08f4 · esports +$62K 82 bets · won 51% Can't tell from luck	+$62K	Can't tell from luck	51.2% 41%–62%	82	+47.8%	w1 +$56K w2 −$64 w3 +$5.8K
50	Dependable-Waterfront 0xbca0…9705 · other +$59K 384 bets · won 63% Beat the odds*	+$59K	Beat the odds*	63.3% 58%–68%	384	+4.7%	w1 +$14K w2 −$22K w3 +$68K

Only wallets with at least 20 settled bets are ranked (971 qualify). "Won" shows the share of bets that paid, with its 95% range underneath. "Skill or luck?" compares wins with the odds each bet was bought at. *About 1 wallet in 40 beats the odds by chance alone, so a "Beat the odds" badge is not proof of skill. "By window" splits profit into two-week periods (hover for dates).

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed