Growing-Comestible

0xe4a57385a34b0b32fd86be72efd25cda41003cad

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Growing-Comestible: +$322K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 33%–79%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$322K
return +59.6%
Settled bets
14
$540K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 33%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$322K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Oilers @ 59¢
Oilers vs. Sharks
Oilers vs. Sharks $9.4K
Oct 10 BUY Oilers @ 59¢
Oilers vs. Sharks
Oilers vs. Sharks $12K
Oct 10 BUY Oilers @ 59¢
Oilers vs. Sharks
Oilers vs. Sharks $12K
Oct 8 BUY Canadiens @ 60¢
Predators vs. Canadiens
Predators vs. Canadiens $2.8K
Oct 8 BUY Utah @ 36¢
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
Spread: Utah (-1.5) $4.0K
Oct 8 BUY Utah @ 56¢
Utah vs. Bruins
Utah vs. Bruins $2.1K
Oct 8 BUY Utah @ 56¢
Utah vs. Bruins
Utah vs. Bruins $11K
Oct 8 BUY Under @ 45¢
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5 $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed