Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
Resolved: Aurora Gaming won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $58K on this market since Oct 16, 60% of their buying on Aurora Gaming. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Aurora Gaming won, with 60% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$6.3K and 4 lost −$14K: −$7.4K between them. Biggest win: Ignorant-Bun, +$1.8K on Aurora Gaming. Biggest loss: Quixotic-Brow, −$9.6K on 9z.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Bun
24 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Aurora Gaming @ 84¢ | $9.6K | — | +$1.8K |
| Quixotic-Brow
164 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
9z @ 32¢ | $9.6K | — | −$9.6K |
| Worrisome-Winery
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $5.6K | — |
| Understated-Showstopper-Motel
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.2K | — |
| Terrible-Isolation-Birdhouse
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.7K | — |
| Harmful-Nest
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.4K | — |
| Wide-Sprout
57 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Whimsical-Politics
14 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Cluttered-Cart-Autoimmunity
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Aurora Gaming @ 68¢ | $2.7K | — | +$1.3K |
| Black-And-White-Greatness
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Aurora Gaming @ 68¢ | $2.6K | — | +$1.2K |
| Bland-Tug
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 69¢ | $2.2K | — | +$996 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,096 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Aurora Gaming @ 81¢ | $1.9K | — | +$443 |
| Variable-Ski
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
9z @ 32¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Writhing-Round
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 70¢ | $1.4K | — | +$600 |
| Alert-Twister-Chicken
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
9z @ 32¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Likely-Feedback
34 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Subtle-Balalaika
1 settled bets Too few bets |
9z @ 32¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Aurora Gaming won$20K60% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $24K sold
-
9z lost$14K40% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792220425).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | $71K | 10 | Open | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $188K | 59 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $703K | 76 | Open | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $196K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | $162K | 43 | Open | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $505K | 45 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | $71K | 18 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | $93K | 18 | Won: MIBR |